"If the election were held today...."
Awfully close, but Bush might still win. But, maybe not, same site, different method.
How can that be? Why isn't Kerry ahead by 50 EC votes? More optimistic for Kerry, but less accurate. Kerry may win Ohio and Penna, but he hasn't won them yet. (And I did predict that NV would get "play" before the end).
Of course, there's also this.