"Why the unskilled are unaware: Further explorations of (absent) self-insight
among the incompetent"
Joyce Ehrlinger, Kerri Johnson, Matthew Banner, David Dunning & Justin
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, forthcoming
People are typically overly optimistic when evaluating the quality of their performance on social and intellectual tasks. In particular, poor performers grossly overestimate their performances because their incompetence deprives them of the skills needed to recognize their deficits. Five studies demonstrated that poor performers lack insight into their shortcomings even in real world settings and when given incentives to be accurate. An additional meta-analysis showed that it was lack of insight into their own errors (and not mistaken assessments of their peers) that led to overly optimistic estimates among poor performers. Along the way, these studies ruled out recent alternative accounts that have been proposed to explain why
poor performers hold such positive impressions of their performance.
Hmmmm....I'm really good at Putt-Putt golf. Just ask Angus.
(Nod to KL, who knows what he's good at)