My views would be considered outrageous in the academic community, but I feel very strongly about them. Those models are a diversion. They haven’t been helpful at all at understanding anything that would be relevant to a monetary policymaker or fiscal policymaker. So we’d better come back to, and begin with as our base, these classic macro-econometric models. We don’t need a revolution. We know the basic stories of optimizing behavior and consumers and businesses that are embedded in these models. We need to go back to the founding fathers, appreciate how smart they were, and build on that."
Full interview is here.
Obviously many Central Bankers disagree with Larry as the Fed and the ECB and the Central Bank of Canada are heavily invested in DSGE modeling.
2 comments:
Sargent seems to have the exact opposite opinion. Interesting times in macro land.
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We need to go back to the founding fathers, appreciate how smart they were, and build on that
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You guys should prepare an 18th century-style federal budget (2-3% of GDP) then run that by the electorate and ask them if they appreciate how smart you are.
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