Tuesday, April 30, 2013

False Specificity


The price of a drink – too exactly? Flawed evidence for minimum unit pricing 

John Duffy
 Significance, April 2013, Pages 23–27

The UK government has been considering whether to introduce minimum unit pricing for alcohol. Extraordinarily precise benefits have been claimed for the measure, down to exactly how many lives a year will be saved. But are the statistics real or illusory? John Duffy says they are flawed to the point of uselessness.

An earlier, longer version.  

Nod to Kevin Lewis

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